Range trading: Cryptocurrencies as for 15/01/2022

Range trading: Cryptocurrencies as for 15/01/2022

Bitcoin / U.S. dollar BITSTAMP:BTCUSD


Calculations of the fluctuations range for the present day are published in this section. That is, at the very beginning of the day, you can determine the maximum and minimum of this day (with a known probability).
What does this information give? In fact, a lot. But first of all, these are guidelines for trade. For example, if during the day the price approaches the upper (lower) mark, you know that it won’t go above (below) this mark with a particular probability today. Accordingly, you can open a position opposite to the current movement, knowing in advance what the probability is to be profitable.
BTCUSD

Long position 1
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 41226
Long position 2
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability 95%) 40410
Long position 3
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability 99%) 39593

Short position 1
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 44717
Short position 2
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 45533
Short position 3
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 46350

ETHUSD

Long position 1
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 3130.71
Long position 2
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability 95%) 3044.71
Long position 3
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability 99%) 2958.70

Short position 1
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 3492.84
Short position 2
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 3578.84
Short position 3
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 3664.85

XRPUSD

Long position 1
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 0.7302
Long position 2
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability 95%) 0.7064
Long position 3
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability 99%) 0.6826

Short position 1
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 0.8169
Short position 2
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 0.8407
Short position 3
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 0.8645

Calculations are based on the historical data and history doesn’t necessarily repeat this particular day. About mentioned probabilities are not 100% and do not guarantee risk-free trading

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