Forecast of financial results for Q4`21 – an upside of 20%

Forecast of financial results for Q4`21 – an upside of 20%


We calculate financial indicators for the 4th quarter of 2021
Revenue — $3163.3 million (3278*965)
EBITDA — $1250.2 million (3278*381.4)
Profit – $911M (1250-125)*(1-0.19)
Change in NCF – $125 decrease based on 12% of revenue (1643-3163.3*0.12*4)
FCF — $875.2 mln 92% qoq increase (EBITDA-change in PFC-CAPEX-taxes = 1250.2+125-286-214)
Dividend – 5.7 rubles. an increase of 214% qoq (875.2*73/11174.33) received more than the target of 4.5 rubles. that means there will be other regular expenses with an increase in CPAEX by $200 million.

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