The legal, political and popular consequences of Trump’s plans for Jerusalem

If the leaks about US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a shift in the US position on occupied Jerusalem tomorrow are true, then the Palestinian issue and the Arab-Israeli conflict will have entered a new, unprecedented phase since 1967. That was the year that the fate of Jerusalem formed one element of the Palestinian cause. If America actually recognises Jerusalem as the capital of Israel and moves its embassy there, which many are linking to America’s upcoming announcement on the so-called comprehensive settlement or comprehensive deal, it will give Israel everything and literally nothing to the Palestinians. While a strong Arab reaction is not expected, given the current Arab governments, a popular reaction, especially in the occupied Palestinian territories and […]

Gaza between the carrot and the stick

Gaza is suffering from an early onset of frustration with the results of the “reconciliation” project, as the signs suggest overwhelmingly that President Mahmoud Abbas is not serious about accomplishing what was agreed upon in the recent Cairo agreement. There is evidence that the leader residing in Ramallah is trying to turn the Gaza Strip into an arena to reproduce his authority’s miserable experience in the occupied West Bank. This evidence includes clear hints that the President’s main objective behind the “reconciliation” is to liquidate the resistance structure in Gaza. There is no doubt that the most dangerous action by Abbas and his team indicates that their demands for “empowering” the Palestinian Authority in Gaza means completely drying up the […]

Factors of Saudi-Israeli rapprochement under the auspices of Bin Salman

French news agency AFP revealed on Friday that the Saudi official who visited Israel last September was Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman; a disclosure that is of great importance and has long-term significance. An Israeli official, as quoted by the agency, confirmed the identity of the Saudi guest, which comes in light of a lot of indicators that there is a dramatic development in the relationship between Riyadh and Tel Aviv. The confirmation of the visit came after hints were made by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that there is an “unprecedented” development in the relationship between his entity and “Arab states that do not have relations with Israel”, which was widely understood to mean specifically Gulf States and mainly […]

Israel’s information war

Like “information warfare” generally, Israel’s information war takes a number of forms. On the one hand it disseminates information in order to discredit its enemies and possibly even blackmail them into submission. Its information war also seeks to influence opinions to suit its own ends. Into this category comes propaganda, which is the general use of “biased or misleading” information put into the public domain in order to promote a particular point of view, or justify an otherwise unjustifiable action. Israel allocates a lot of human and financial resources to its information war. With the shift from print media to electronic and social media, there has been a significant increase in the use of information and propaganda by governments and […]

The danger of relations between Israel and Sunni Arab states

While the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has gloated in the past about the great development in the relations between Israel and what he calls the Sunni Arab states during his rule, he made sure during his speech last week during the Jewish New Year to highlight how far these countries have gone in their mission to improve cooperation with Tel Aviv. In his speech, Netanyahu said: “What is actually happening with the Arab states has never happened in our history, even when we signed agreements. The cooperation between Israel and Arab states exists in various ways and different levels.” In order to entice his listeners and push them to imagine the nature of the development that has occurred in […]

Al-Aqsa Uprising: What Hamas must do

The Al-Aqsa Uprising posed a double dilemma for the Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, as well as for the PA President, Mahmoud Abbas. Netanyahu became a target of harsh criticism by the Israeli media and political arena, which blamed him for the severe deterioration of the security situation after electronic gates were placed at the entrances of Al-Aqsa Mosque. Netanyahu, who presents himself as “the master of security”, claiming to have made great achievements in this regard, was surprised by the Al-Aqsa Uprising, which shrunk his margin of manoeuvre and revealed to the Israeli public, especially the right-wing bases, that he is unable to obtain the desired results. Netanyahu is further pressured by the fact that the strategic assessment levels […]

Israel reconsiders implications of the Gulf crisis

It seems that even Israel is now reassessing its initial stakes in the Gulf crisis and re-examining the implications of the crisis for its various interests. Israeli circles no longer believe in the ability of the countries imposing the siege on Qatar to manage the crisis, to the extent that current assessments in Tel Aviv are almost unanimous in warning that it will have a negative outcome. When the crisis first broke Tel Aviv concluded that it would contribute to improving Israel’s regional standing, developing its ability to confront strategic threats and expanding and deepening co-operation with Arab countries, especially those leading the boycott against Qatar. The degree to which Israel reveled in the crisis between the Gulf States was […]

New Hamas chief Al-Senwar faces a tripartite alliance

Things are getting clearer and need little further analysis. The electricity crisis that has been exacerbated in the Gaza Strip recently was not a transient stage caused by the economic considerations of the Palestinian Authority. Nor was it the result of the PA leadership’s political options or the desire of President Mahmoud Abbas to clear issues with Hamas. The reality is that it was the implementation of an Israeli strategy aimed at reducing the margin for manoeuvre available to the new Hamas leadership in the Gaza Strip in order to deter the movement from a new military confrontation. Abbas and head of the regime in Cairo, Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi, played the main roles in this strategy, although they had no […]

Hamas must look beyond Dahlan to ease the blockade

Despite conflicting information about an understanding said to have been reached between Hamas and Mohammad Dahlan in Cairo last week on the subject of Gaza, there is evidence that any understanding is not final. It is clear that Dahlan in particular has an interest in fuelling the leaks concerning these understandings, as he has allowed those close to him abroad – and elites sympathetic to his politics inside Palestine – to talk to the media and flood social media with the details. It is interesting that the Hamas leadership remained silent and avoided pushing a parallel narrative, even when the leadership in Ramallah took advantage of these leaks to expose the movement. Read: Dahlan behind differences between Egypt and Fatah It […]

Normalisation in exchange for a mirage

  Regardless of what he says in his speeches and during his meetings with the Arab and Muslim rulers, who travelled to Riyadh from all over the world to meet him, one can say that American President Donald Trump will mainly focus on capitalizing on this turnout to make it a turning point in terms of legitimising the integration of Israel, as well as the Arab countries, into a new regional system constituting a new alliance. The alliance’s main task will be to confront Iran and the Sunni Islamist political and military movements. According to Trump’s logic, the formation of this system and allowing it to operate publically requires, first and foremost, the normalisation of relations between the Arab states […]